Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Australian Financial Sector - Long Term update

The Australian Financial Sector index - XFJ, has not declined in smooth waves of 5 from the all time high like the XAO. Instead, the XFJ has declined in waves of 3 and the decline has been difficult to predict due to a lack of 5 wave moves. However, if we were to use the same assumption as the long term XAO - a zig-zag correction down to the 100yr trend line, then we can assume (for the moment) that the XFJ will zig-zag lower but with a triangle for Wave 'B' circle.

Thus, the rules for a triangle need to be observed until proven wrong as shown below with expected paths for waves 'd' and 'e' labeled:

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